Posted on 9 August, 2011
MEN EAST CONFERENCE OVERVIEW:
The top three spots are sewn up. The real interest lies in the race for fourth spot between Ballarat and Dandenong. The Rangers are in front on head-to-head against the Miners, but have fewer games in hand. With both teams having equally tough runs home, the final spot in the East could be decided when Ballarat travels to Frankston in the last regular season game of the year.
Bendigo: Currently 1st, (19 wins – 4 losses)
Remaining games: Dandenong (away), Canberra (home), Brisbane (away)
Cannot miss the playoffs and have already won the East minor premiership, because even if Knox win all their remaining games and Bendigo drop their last three, the Braves are still in front on head-to-head against the Raiders.
Knox: 2nd (17-7)
Remaining games: Albury/Wodonga (away), Frankston (home)
Cannot be moved from second spot. Even if Kilsyth win their remaining two games and Knox drop their last two, the Raiders are still in front on head-to-head against the Cobras.
Kilsyth: 3rd (15-9)
Remaining games: Canberra (home), Mt Gambier (away)
Cannot be moved from third spot. Even if Ballarat win their remaining three games and Kilsyth drop their last two, the Cobras will still finish with more wins than the Miners.
Ballarat: 4th (11-12)
Remaining games: Brisbane (away), Geelong (home), Frankston (away)
Need to finish with more wins than Dandenong to make the playoffs. The Miners are behind head-to-head against the Rangers, so cannot afford to finish with the same number of wins.
Dandenong: 5th (11-13)
Remaining games: Bendigo (home), NW Tasmania (home)
Must finish with the same number or more wins than Ballarat to make the finals. The Rangers are in front head-to-head against the Miners.
MEN SOUTH CONFERENCE OVERVIEW:
The top two spots are sewn up, but still a lot to be worked out in the South conference. Mt Gambier can still make the playoffs, but given that they need a number of other results to go their way, that is highly unlikely, meaning Hobart, Frankston and Sandringham are left to fight for the remaining two playoff spots.
Nunawading: 1st (19-5)
Remaining games: Geelong (away), Hobart (home)
Cannot miss the playoffs and have already won the South minor premiership.
Geelong: 2nd (15-8)
Remaining games: Nunawading (home), Hobart (home), Ballarat (away)
Cannot finish any lower than second. Even if the Supercats lose their remaining three games and Sandringham win their remaining games, Geelong are in front on head-to-head calculations against the Sabres.
Sandringham: 3rd (13-11)
Remaining games: Mt Gambier (away), Canberra (away)
Sandringham are in front on head-to-head against Hobart but behind to Frankston. Need to finish with more wins than the Blues and Chargers to hold onto third spot, but can slip to fifth if they lose both remaining games, Frankston win at least two, and Hobart win all three remaining games.
Frankston: 4th (11-11)
Remaining games: Hobart (away), NW Tasmania (away), Knox (away), Ballarat (home)
Can finish third with more or equal number of wins as Sandringham, because the Blues are in front on head-to-head with the Sabres. Can drop to fifth if they finish with less wins than Hobart, or if they cannot overcome the -7 points differential with Hobart and finish with the same number of wins as the Chargers.
Hobart: 5th (11-12)
Remaining games: Frankston (home), Geelong (away), Nunawading (away)
Hobart is currently +7 in head-to-head calculations against Frankston. Can finish as high as third if they win all their remaining games, Sandringham lose their two games, and they finish with more wins than Frankston, or remain in front head-to-head with the Blues should they have the same number of wins.
Mt Gambier: 6th (10-14)
Remaining games: Sandringham (home), Kilsyth (home)
Can still make finals if they win against Sandringham and Kilsyth, Frankston beats Hobart, and then hope that Frankston and Hobart lose all their other remaining games. The Pioneers are in front on head-to-head calculations against Frankston but behind against Hobart.
WOMEN’S COMPETITION OVERVIEW:
Knox and Dandenong will occupy the top two spots, although the order in which they finish can still change. Real interest lies in positions 3, 4 and 5. Bendigo can finish as high as third or as low as fifth, Kilsyth could finish third or fourth, and Ballarat could finish fourth or fifth. The final playoff spot is also still up for grabs, with Nunawading having more wins than Launceston, but the Tornadoes having more games in hand and are in front head-to-head with the Spectres.
Knox: 1st (19-2)
Remaining games: Albury/Wodonga (away), Frankston (home), Sandringham (away)
Will not finish any lower than second. Can finish on top with more or equal number of wins as Dandenong and Kilsyth, as Knox is in front head-to-head with the Rangers and Cobras.
Dandenong: 2nd (19-3)
Remaining games: Bendigo (home), Launceston (home)
Can finish on top with more wins than Knox, but cannot finish any lower than second because even if the Rangers lose all their remaining games, and Kilsyth win their remaining games, Dandenong are still in front head-to-head against Kilsyth.
Kilsyth: 3rd (16-5)
Remaining games: Sandringham (home), Bendigo (away), Frankston (away)
Cannot finish any higher than third, and cannot finish any lower than fourth, because Kilsyth are in front head-to-head with Ballarat.
Bendigo: 4th (15-6)
Remaining games: Dandenong (away), Kilsyth (home), Brisbane (away)
Bendigo is currently +5 head-to-head with Kilsyth, but -10 head-to-head with Ballarat. Can finish in third with more wins than the Lady Cobras or if they preserve their head-to-head advantage should they have the same number of wins. Will drop to fifth if Ballarat finish ahead or level on wins.
Ballarat: 5th (14-8)
Remaining games: Brisbane (away), Geelong (home)
Will go up to fourth with more or an equal number of wins as Bendigo, as the Rush is +10 head-to-head against the Lady Braves. Cannot drop to sixth because Ballarat are in front head-to-head against Nunawading.
Nunawading: 6th (12-10)
Remaining games: Geelong (away), Hobart (home)
Cannot go higher than sixth because Ballarat are in front head-to-head, but will drop out of the finals if Launceston finish with more or an equal number of wins, because the Tornadoes are in front head-to-head against Nunawading.
Launceston: 7th (10-11)
Remaining games: Frankston (home), Dandenong (away), Albury/Wodonga (away)
Will go into the top six if they finish with more or an equal number of wins as Nunawading, because the Tornadoes are in front head-to-head against Nunawading.
